Thursday of Week 7. Tuesday gave the lake, its bathymetry, the datum, and the elevation-area-volume table. Today: a ModelBuilder model that runs once per water level instead of once, and Lab 6, which uses it on Lake Powell. The lab is Lake Powell, not the Great Salt Lake: Powell is one connected pool behind a dam, so the main-pool step works cleanly; the Great Salt Lake's railroad causeway splits it in two below about 4,200 ft. The title image is the Lab 6 default run on the 10 m Wahweap close-up: 21 shorelines, 3,500 to 3,700 ft. Slides marked "ArcGIS Pro screenshot to come" are placeholders: they are captured from the real Lab 6 model once the DEM extract is built. Until then, demo live.
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Announcement: BYU Student Innovator of the Year. Students compete for a share of $50k in prizes to develop their ideas. Apply by November 1 at sioy.byu.edu (redirects to engineering.byu.edu/sioy). The QR code on the flyer goes to the same page.
From Tuesday's build questions. The top block and the bottom block look like two models because ModelBuilder draws a connector only when a whole variable is plugged into a parameter; a %Elevation% inside an expression or an output name is a hidden reference. The demo copy has a dashed precondition line from Elevation to Con to make the dependency visible; it changes nothing about how the model runs. Rename the For output away from "Elevation" and every %Elevation% stops resolving; rename pool_%Elevation% to "Pool" and nothing breaks, because the label was never what the tool used.
Count = 1 is the check that the seed touched exactly one polygon; 0 means the seed went dry and that level writes an empty feature class. Output Values holds paths, not data: after pass 3 it reads pool_3370; pool_3380; pool_3390. Merge takes that list through its Input Datasets parameter (drag a connector from Output Values and choose Input Datasets; the dropdown will not offer it). The seed sits on the lake bed about 2 km above the dam at roughly 3,191 ft, under water at every level in the lab; Con floods several hundred closed hollows per level (460 to 810 polygons at the personal-run levels), and Select Layer By Location keeps the one that touches the seed. This is why Powell and not the Great Salt Lake: the causeway splits that lake below about 4,200 ft.
The attribute table of powell_shorelines_3500_3700_10 from the GUI-built model (October 2, 2026): 75.65 sq mi at 3,500 ft, 103.93 at 3,550, the same as the arcpy run on the slide after next. A full run took about 4.5 minutes in ModelBuilder on the build machine.
Simplified October 13, 2026: no shore features, no range-and-step experiments, no checks against named points. Two runs of the same model and a map of each. The map is the default run on the 10 m Wahweap close-up. Debug on a three-level loop (Step 6) before Run 1; a full 35-level run takes about eight minutes in ModelBuilder. Tuesday's datum lesson comes back here: skip Step 1 and every cell (955-1,441) is below 3,370, so the whole surface floods at every level.
Blue: the model run in arcpy on the 30 m surface, 3,370 to 3,700 ft by 10 (tools/lab06). Dashed: the USGS published areas from the area-capacity data release behind SIR 2022-5017 (doi:10.5066/P9O3IPG3). Check values: 75.65 sq mi at 3,500 ft (USGS 76.65), 140.37 at 3,600 (141.54), 247.36 at 3,700 (248.82); 1.3-6.8 % low from 3,490 down to 3,370 where the pool is mostly narrow canyon. The model runs low because 30 m cells drop narrow canyon arms and Step 4 drops arms the coarse cells disconnect. The lab asks for the three check values and a two-sentence observation on area per foot, nothing more.
Every set lies between 3,450 and 3,688 ft, inside Run 1's range: five rows that are a finer look at one stretch of the same curve. The grader has the areas and shoreline lengths for all 100 possible sets; the shoreline length is the number that cannot be interpolated from any published table, which is why it is asked for. Map 2 is these five levels zoomed to a part of the lake where they visibly differ, each level labeled.
Why: Lab 5 showed three ways AI stands in for the work. Published check values make an invented number look real; the example map is a reference image an image generator can repaint; and nothing in a report proves ArcGIS Pro ran. A layout PDF is vector: selectable text, real geometry, an ArcGIS Pro producer string. History is cheap to capture and hard to fake. The AI policy is unchanged: use AI to understand a tool, fix an error, or tighten writing; not to run the lab, make the figures, or supply the numbers.
Students built the model after Tuesday (Steps 0-6). Three levels of the full model run in well under a minute on either surface. If a model is not finished, pair up. Without the Select Layer By Location step the polygons include every pothole below the level: show Count on the demo copy. Data: the Lab 6 package, docs/data/lab06-powell-data.zip. TODO(instructor): create the matching Learning Suite activity.
Quiz and "before next class" share one closing slide (October 15, 2026) so students read both while packing up. Four minutes, in pairs, then a show of hands on the output-name item. If the room has no signal, put the URL on the board.
Week 7 decks drafted October 1, 2026; Thursday reworked the same night for Lab 6 at Lake Powell (lecture stays on the Great Salt Lake). Powell figures: tools/week07_powell_figures.py and tools/lab06/build_figures.py. Figures: tools/week07_figures.py (USGS gage, USGS EAV table, hydromap shorelines, HydroShare cross-section, ArcGIS Pro maps) and tools/week07_diagrams_svg.py (drawn diagrams and the screenshot placeholders, lb-todo-*.svg). The Thursday deck's lb-todo-*.svg placeholders were replaced on October 2, 2026 with captures from the Lab 6 GUI build (lb-iterators-menu, lb-for-dialog, lb-con-dialog, lb-full-model, lb-run-result; originals in C:\Ames\Lab06GUI\caps); lb-todo-dem.svg on the Tuesday deck is still a placeholder.